Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction

economic optimization and energy consumption in tray dryers

دراین پروژه به بررسی مدل سازی خشک کردن مواد غذایی با استفاده از هوای خشک در خشک کن آزمایشگاهی نوع سینی دار پرداخته شده است. برای آنالیز انتقال رطوبت در طی خشک شدن به طریق جابجایی، یک مدل لایه نازک برای انتقال رطوبت، مبتنی بر معادله نفوذ فیک در نظر گفته شده است که شامل انتقال همزمان جرم و انرژی بین فاز جامد و گاز می باشد. پروفایل دما و رطوبت برای سه نوع ماده غذایی شامل سیب زمینی، سیب و موز در طی...

The Impact of Exchange Rate and Investor Confidence Uncertainty on Monetary and Economic Uncertainty in Iran

Failure to timely identify the occurrence of various shocks in the foreign exchange market due to the close relationship with the monetary, macroeconomic, and financial uncertainty can lead to crises and imbalances. In this paper, the effect of exchange rate and investor confidence on monetary and economic uncertainty in Iran is investigated, specifying a Multivariate GARCH model and the Grange...

Uncertainty in Economic Analysis and the Economic Analysis of Uncertainty∗

Numerical modeling of economic uncertainty

Representation and modeling of economic uncertainty is addressed by different modeling methods, namely stochastic variables and probabilities, interval analysis, and fuzzy numbers, in particular triple estimates. Fo-cusing on discounted cash flow analysis numerical results are presented, comparisons are made between alter-native modeling methods, and characteristics of the methods are discussed.

Economic Uncertainty and Corruption:

Substantial research has considered numerous causes and correlates of corruption. Also, there have been many studies of the consequences of various forms of uncertainty. However, exploration of the nexus between economic uncertainty and corruption appears scarce. After providing a simple intuitive and heuristic linkage between general economic uncertainty and corruption, this paper uses a large...